How Small Economies Can Build Fiscal Resilience Without Austerity
The conventional wisdom that fiscal consolidation requires austerity — deep cuts to social spending — is being challenged by evidence from small, resource-dependent economies that have found alternative paths to debt sustainability.
The Austerity Trap
For small economies facing fiscal pressure, the standard prescription often involves cutting public spending — particularly social programs. But in economies where public services are already thin and poverty rates are high, austerity can be self-defeating: it reduces the human capital and social stability needed for long-term growth.
Alternative Approaches
Mongolia, Georgia, and Bolivia offer instructive examples of fiscal consolidation strategies that protect social spending while improving fiscal health. These approaches emphasize revenue mobilization, expenditure efficiency, and strategic investment rather than across-the-board cuts.
Implications for Policy Design
The evidence suggests that fiscal resilience is best built through a combination of broadening the tax base, improving public financial management, and investing in productive capacity — not through reducing the social safety net that protects the most vulnerable.